Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 963.561050 1102.180176 1261.304909 1459.204016 1701.149617 1990.517629 2.367704e+03
2024-10-13 741.260840 908.602800 1120.162871 1413.444254 1819.842514 2379.830110 3.241896e+03
2024-10-20 624.111334 797.310095 1029.581836 1374.703735 1894.901265 2687.673732 4.073649e+03
2024-10-27 538.412595 708.635586 946.980351 1320.126262 1920.719207 2914.303703 4.852795e+03
2024-11-03 502.150365 680.766088 941.955823 1373.536943 2118.507541 3468.430029 6.464344e+03
2024-11-10 467.229414 649.019628 924.619588 1401.431730 2276.617221 4000.193819 8.335274e+03
2024-11-17 434.338714 615.707058 899.162610 1409.357424 2398.078624 4499.793815 1.046981e+04
2024-11-24 401.584945 578.700027 862.463024 1390.258533 2461.366681 4896.075860 1.263796e+04
2024-12-01 382.457905 561.071690 855.131734 1422.478726 2636.058662 5621.639895 1.655534e+04
2024-12-08 369.758944 552.360016 861.472543 1481.042792 2882.920071 6647.961487 2.296474e+04
2024-12-15 354.184030 537.184608 854.343344 1511.204627 3072.775044 7616.946850 3.087569e+04
2024-12-22 335.778267 515.465554 832.812092 1507.812878 3179.778076 8392.453571 3.951633e+04
2024-12-29 323.173101 503.423039 829.157205 1545.172053 3412.995246 9785.625708 5.717466e+04
2025-01-05 301.007553 472.786510 787.291472 1491.838745 3386.425750 10213.422803 6.888465e+04
2025-01-12 282.473431 447.272535 752.887144 1450.471705 3384.399696 10756.375494 8.507635e+04
2025-01-19 263.871861 420.362046 713.385114 1391.827736 3317.340403 10989.678089 9.946334e+04
2025-01-26 258.666455 417.660708 721.861422 1449.199676 3627.776027 13271.924637 1.720737e+05
2025-02-02 251.124104 409.977190 719.351193 1479.184712 3862.290417 15452.375568 2.929390e+05
2025-02-09 242.226024 399.063521 709.042678 1487.707083 4027.969816 17462.442675 4.944900e+05
2025-02-16 231.572893 384.074586 688.781786 1467.172428 4083.463490 18859.653301 7.732328e+05
2025-02-23 226.117509 378.816078 688.967671 1501.818841 4363.352484 22330.647835 1.930944e+06
2025-03-02 223.036297 377.985001 698.722070 1564.843375 4787.366427 27915.923103 1.000606e+07
2025-03-09 217.859422 372.598362 697.770302 1597.327445 5100.744595 33362.507529 1.467061e+08